Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Montreal at New York Islanders 4/6/10 7pm Nassau Coliseum


Montreal -135 -1.5 (+225) Over 5 (-140)

NY Islanders +115 +1.5 (-265) Under 5 (+120)



The Montreal Canadiens travel to Long Island to face the New York Islanders Tuesday night and try to solidify a playoff position. The task won't be easy as the Islanders are playing some of their best hockey this season going 7-3-1 in their last 11 games. John Tavares has found his scoring touch again with 13 points in his last 9 games. Blake Comeau has emerged as another young forward poised to be part of the future with 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 3 games. Comeau would be on pace to score 27 goals if he played in 82 games. The Islanders own a 22-14-3 record at Nassau Coliseum and have gone 8-2 in their last 10 at home. Martin Biron may get the start. The veteran goaltender is 6-0-2 in his last 8 starts.

Montreal has gone 10-4-1 since the Olympic Break and have positioned themselves in a playoff spot. With the Rangers playing the Flyers twice this weekend, Montreal can clinch a playoff spot with 2 more wins. The Canadiens have won all 3 meetings this season against the Islanders and will need to be at their best to win Tuesday night.

SureShotPick: Take the Islanders +1.5. The Islanders have only lost a home game by more than 2 goals three times since Christmas.

Monday, April 5, 2010

Eastern Conference Stanley Cup Odds and Predictions

odds from sportsbetting.com

Washington Capitals 7/2 The Washington Capitals through patience and dedication, have stuck to their plan and are now being rewarded. The Capitals have clinched the Presidents Trophy and home ice advantage throughout the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Capitals have also set their own franchise record for most wins in a season with 51. To us, the most impressive statistic besides individual stats from Ovechkin, Backstrom, Knuble, Semin.. and the list goes on and on is that the Capitals have outscored opponents 301-222. A margin of 79 goals.

Prediction: The Capitals will be one of the last two teams standing in the Eastern Conference. This still might not be the year the Caps win the cup.
What scares us about Washington is although they score a ton of goals, they give up a lot as well. 222 goals against is 2nd highest among current playoff teams and Jose Theodore has a 2.85 GAA and a .909 save percentage which ranks 32nd and 23rd in the league. Not impressive stats for any goalie, let alone the starter for the President's Trophy winners.


New Jersey Devils 15/2
Every year we say that this will be the season that the Devils start to fade. Every year we are wrong. Martin Brodeur has been the backbone once again and although he has looked human this season, has played plenty well enough to keep the Devils in the Atlantic Division title hunt. Zach Parise has had another terrific year and the addition of Ilya Kovalchuk gives the Devils offensive prominence they haven't had maybe ever in their history. However, beyond their top 2 forwards, the Devils don't have much depth and their 208 goals are 2nd fewest among current playoff teams.

Prediction: The Devils will struggle in the playoffs. Their defense as a team although solid, lacks a star or leader that can step up in a big spot. Most playoff teams can slow the Devils offense enough where they will have to depend on their
secondary scoring to pick up the slack. All in all, Brodeur is not the same goalie he used to be and look for the Devils to be upset in the 2nd round.


Buffalo Sabres 16/1
Once again Lindy Ruff has the Sabres playing well and headed toward the playoffs. The Sabres are 24-10-6 at home and home ice advantage at least in the first round will be a big help. The Sabres are one of the most truly balanced teams from coaching down to goaltending. The Sabres have four 20 goal scorers and 12 players, 11 of them forwards have at least 10 goals. T
he defense is lead by veterans Montador, Henrik Tallinder and Craig Rivet. Rookie sensation Tyler Myers has serious Calder consideration for his outstanding play this season. You also can't say enough about Ryan Miller. His 38-19-8 record 2.23 GAA and .928 Save Percentage all rank in the top 5 in the NHL. The Sabres only lack a puck moving and scoring defensemen but can overcome that with depth at all positions.


Prediction: With experienced coaching and a very deep and balanced team, the Sabres could be the dark horse in the East as they really don't have any blaring weaknesses. The Sabres can also play tough and can goon it up with anyone. The Sabres will win 2 rounds depending on who they play and how matchups pan out.

Pittsburgh Penguins 9/2 With arguably two of the three top players in the world, it's hard to flat out say the Penguins won't repeat as Stanley Cup Champions. Sidney Crosby has figured out how to be a prolific goal scorer. We all knew about the playmaking ability of C
rosby, now add his league leading 47 goals to the picture and we now have an all around stud. The Penguins have 11 players with at least 10 goals and their forward depth is impressive. As deep as it is, they still lack a prolific player to go along with Malkin and Crosby. Sergei Gonchar leads the defense and Marc-Andre Fleury holds down the house in goal.

Prediction: The road to the Finals could lead through Pittsburgh. HockeySureShot feels that it is very important for Pittsburgh to win the Atlantic Division. Teams that finish 6th-8th in the Conference are much weaker than teams 1-5 and Pittsburgh could benefit from an easier matchup in the first round.


Ottawa Senators 22/1
The Senators are headed back to the playoffs mainly
because of a sick 4 week run before the Olympic Break that saw them win 11 in a row and 14-2 in that 16 game stretch. After a terrible start post Olympic Break, the Senators have turned it on lately and saw their 6 game winning streak snapped after clinching a playoff spot.

Prediction: The Senators will either play the Devils or Penguins unless things dramatically change. We give the Senators a shot against the Devils but not much of one if they face Pittsburgh. Either way, the Senators will not get out of the 2nd round.

Montreal Canadiens 28/1 The Canadiens 10-4-1 surge since the Olympic Break
has the Candiens on the verge of making the playoffs again. The Canadiens saw a mass overhaul during last offseason and it took the team some time to gain chemistry. Lately the Canadiens have been a tough opponent and are playing well at the right time. Montreal has a balanced scoring attack with Cammalleri, Plekanec and Gionta all with at least 24 goals. They lack a serious superstar and are not very deep on defense.

Prediction: Unless Montreal wins out and Ottawa free falls, the Canadiens will pla
y Buffalo, NJ or Pittsburgh in the first round and they will be playing golf within 10 days of the start of the playoffs.


Boston Bruins 33/1 The Bruins are clinging to a playoff spot currently and unless a meltdown in their final 4 games, the Bruins should make it. The loss of Marc Savard hurt their enigmatic defense ever further. The Bruins have won on grit, defense and the goaltending of Tuukka Rask.
Tim Thomas has had a disappointing year and without the emergence of Rask, the Bruins would be on the outside looking in.

Prediction: The Bruins are last in the NHL in goals and will have a hard time winning a playoff game, let alone a series. They will be out quick.


Philadelphia Flyers 50/1 The Flyers management has once again not given their team the best chance to win. As previously reported by HockeySureShot, the Flyers are down to their 3rd string goalie Brian Boucher. The Flyers are 3-6-1 in their last 10 and are in danger of missing the playoffs for only the 2nd time in the last 15 years. A number of coaching changes and player changes over the years, the Flyers have yet to make a move to acquire a long term goalie.

Prediction: If the Flyers can hold off the red hot Rangers and Thrashers, they will find themselves wishing they hadn't. Flyers out quick.


New York Rangers 80/1
The Rangers have won 3 straight and are 6-3-1 in their l
ast 10. They are getting hot at the right time and could find themselves in the playoffs for the 3rd straight season. Henrik Lundqvist and Marion Gaborik have earned their paychecks this season but a lack of consistency have kept the Rangers from a better season. The Rangers are a patchwork team with some solid young players but no stars on the horizon.

Prediction: If the Rangers can continue their winning ways, they will catch Philadelphia or Boston or both. However, they will be out very quickly as well.


Atlanta Thrashers 100/1
Although the Thrashers have a lot of work to do to m
ake the playoffs this season, their late season play and ability to stay in the race has to be optimistic to fans. The Thrashers have some good young talent and HockeySureShot has always questions Kovalchuk's commitment to winning. Moving him along might have been a blessing in disguise.

Prediction: This won't be the year for Atlanta but if GM Don Waddell can add a veteran or two to this team during the offseason, a playoff goal for next season isn't an unreasonable goal.

note: The Thrashers have been eliminated

New York Islanders 250/1 The Islanders are still mathematically alive but won't be for long. However, their is finally hope on Long Island as a core of young forwards took a big step as a group this season. If John Tavares can become the superstar he is projected to be, and the Islanders can sure up their defense, Islander fans will be waving rally towels next April at Nassau Coliseum.

Prediction: They will be eliminated by Tuesday night, but a 15 point improvement and
meaningful hockey in March gives Garth Snow's rebuilding ideology some serious cred.

note: The Islanders have been eliminated

Sunday, April 4, 2010

Minnesota Wild and Vancouver Canucks


Minnesota +190 +1.5 (-150) Over 5.5 (-115)
Vancouver -230 -1.5 (+135) Under 5.5 (-105)

The Vancouver Canucks look to clinch the Northwest Division tonight against the Minnesota Wild. The Wild were officially eliminated from playoff contention recently and have nothing to play for for the first time this season. Look for Vancouver to come out hard and clinch the division. The Wild have had an up and down season and missing the playoffs is a disappointment for them.

SureShotPick: Vancouver straight up as they clinch the Northwest

Saturday, April 3, 2010

Edmonton at Phoenix


Edmonton +235
Coyotes -310

The Coyotes look to get back on track tonight at home after clinching their first playoff birth in years. Edmonton is playing out the string. Look for the Coyotes to wake up and win this one.

SureShotPick: Coyotes -310

Friday, April 2, 2010

Western Conference Odds to win Stanley Cup


San Jose Sharks 5/1

It's no secret that playoffs have not been kind to San Jose in recent years. Last season the Sharks won the Presidents trophy for the best


record in the league and were knocked out by Anaheim in the first round. Perhaps Dany Heatley is the missing ingredient for playoff success, but the Sharks still seem to be weak on defense after Boyle, Murray, and Vlasic, and still depend too much on the Thornton line for offense. Evgeni Nabokov was not great in the playoff series for Anaheim and will need to be on his best game for the Sharks to go deep in the playoffs. Overall, we're not thrilled with the Sharks depth on the third and fourth lines, and also their second and third defense pairings.

Prediction: They are very strong at the Shark Tank and on talent alone should get by the first round and perhaps can make it to the Western Finals if they meet the right opponent. We still think the Sharks have holes, and have a hug obstacle mentally to get over the playoff letdowns of years past.


Chicago Blackhawks 3/1

The Blackhawks have struggled in the month of March posting a 6-7-2 record. Very young and skilled team that has one major hole. Goaltending. Cristobal Huet and Antti Niemi have solid numbers, but have struggled at times this season and still have to prove themselves in the playoffs. Niemi will probably be the guy and he does have seven shutouts this season, so he is capable. Offensively, Chicago is loaded with Kane, Toews, Sharp, Brouwer, Hossa, and Versteeg. They also have important role players such as John Madden, Ben Eager, Dustin Byfuglien, and Andrew Ladd. No team has more overall balance upfront and can skate like the Blackhawks. The defense is very solid, although the loss of Brian Campbell will hurt. It all comes down to if you trust their goaltending.

Prediction: Will be playing in the Western Conference finals.



Vancouver Canucks
12/1

This is the most impressive team I have seen this season in my opinion. The Sedin's have been brilliant this year. The Canucks are finally getting secondary scoring from players such as Mason Raymond, Ryan Kesler, and Alex Burrows. They are a physical team that is quick, and is big and solid on defense. Who would think that the biggest worry Canuck fans have is Roberto Luongo in goal? He has struggled since winning the gold medal for Canada, but should get it together by the playoffs.

Prediction: Western finals at least and could win the Cup.



Phoenix Coyotes
30/1

The Cinderella team of the NHL thus far, has two strengths that are key to winning the cup; Goaltending and defense. Phoenix has allowed the least amount of goals in the league thanks to Illya Bryzgalov in net who leads the NHL in shutouts. Head coach Dave Tippet has had playoff success with Dallas, and they also have veteran defensemen with playoff experience. Phoenix can role out four quality lines and is fast and scrappy.

Prediction: 30-1 seems very high for one of the hottest teams in the league. They have just as good of a chance as any team to reach the Stanley Cup because of their goaltending. May not be as talented as Chicago, Vancouver, San Jose and Detroit, but should advance to the 2nd round.



Nashville Predators
60/1

Barry Trotz is one of our favorite coaches as he has done a masterful job with the low budget Predators once again. This is another team that has tremendous defense and goaltending. Shea Weber is perhaps the most underrated defensemen in the league as well as Dan Hamhuis and Ryan Suter which form one of the leagues best defense. Pekka Rinne is on par with any of the goalies in the NHL but has never played in the playoffs. As usual they don't score often but do have a 30 goal scorer in Patric Hornqvist and solid veterans such as Jason Arnott, Steve Sullivan, and JP Dumont. They can skate with any team in the league and will out work teams also. Nashville may not be talented enough to go deep in the playoffs, but they will make things difficult for whoever their opponent is.

Prediction: Nashville impresses us every year, but it would be a surprise if they get past the first round.



Detroit Red Wings
12/1

The Red Wings are the leagues hottest team after the Olympic break posting a 13-2-1 record. Nobody wants to face the experienced Detroit Red Wings in the playoffs. Injuries were a key factor as to why they struggled most of the season. Unfortunately for the rest of league, players such as Johan Franzen, Valtteri Flippula, Tomas Holmstrom, Niklas Kronwall, and Dan Cleary, who were injured earlier this season are healthy and making immediate contributions. The MVP of the Red Wings has been goalie Jimmy Howard , who is a candidate for the Calder trophy and even the Vezina trophy. He has started every game since Jan. 27th and is among the league leaders in GAA, and save percentage. This team has won before, and is peaking at the right time.

Prediction: People will jumping on the Wings bandwagon as the wise guy pick. However, as great as Howard has been he is still unproven in the playoffs. Last season the Wings were on the verge of winning the Cup but should signs of fatigue against Pittsburgh in the finals. They are still a relatively old team, especially on defense. Depending on who they play, they could be out in the first round or make it to the second, but to us they are a notch below the leagues elite.



Los Angeles Kings
20/1

One of the dark horse teams on the verge of punching a ticket to the playoffs for the first time since 2002. Not the fastest team in the league, but excellent at cycling the puck in the other teams zone, and they have players such as Ryan Smyth, Dustin Brown, and Michal Handzus, who create havoc in front of the net and score the garbage goals which are needed in the playoffs. The Kings have a balanced attack on offense with seven players who have scored more than 15 goals thus far and are one of league's best on face offs. Defensively they are led by Drew Doughty who in his second year is being considered for the Norris trophy. They may be weak in their third defense pairing and goaltender Jonathan Quick, as well as most of the team, has never appeared in the playoffs. The Kings goal this season was to just make the playoffs as this team on the rise may be another year away from seriously contending for the Stanley Cup.

Prediction: They will be a tough out in the first round and could pull of an upset, but more than likely will be out in the first round.



Calgary Flames
50/1

Big win tonight over Colorado moves the Flames into a tie with the Avalanche for the 8th seed. Calgary's strength is defense and goaltending, but struggles so often scoring goals. The Flames don't have the depth offensively to be a serious threat, if they even make the playoffs. Miikka Kiprusoff is capable of stealing a game in the Calgary net, and they will play a physical game, but the lack of scoring makes it hard pressed for them to make any impact in the playoffs.

Prediction: Should they make the playoffs, they will be out in the first round.


Colorado
Avalanche 35/1

The surprising Avalanche are in a freefall at the wrong time and are in danger of missing the playoffs. This is a very young team with tremendous upside for the future that would be thrilled just to make the postseason. Goalie Craig Anderson, who has been terrific most of the season is struggling like the rest of the team. Chris Stewart, Matt Duchene, and Paul Stasny, lead the Av's offense which is solid but isn't overly explosive. The Av's are relying on so many young players, it would be difficult for them to be a threat to anyone in the post season.

Prediction: Head coach Joe Sacco has done a tremendous job getting this team to where they are at. The Av's are headed in the right direction, but if they do make the playoffs they will be a quick out.

Lighthouse Project and Nassau Coliseum on Long Island

http://www.lettherebelighthouse.com/2010/04/special-report-questioning-status-of.html

Bloggers Nick Giglia of Let there be lighthouse and B.D. Gallof of Hockey Independent weigh in on the silence Islanders fans have heard about the Lighthouse Project and plans to develop Nassau Coliseum and Surrounding area. The Islanders lease is up with their current building at the end of the 2014-2015 season.

Thursday, April 1, 2010

Philadelphia at NY Islanders 7pm


Philadelphia -140 -1.5 (+215) Over 5.5 (even)

NY Islanders +120 +1.5 (-255) Under 5.5(-120)

The Philadelphia Flyers have found themselves clinging to a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They are tied with Boston and Montreal for 6th place in the East with 82 points, while 9th place Atlanta is 2 points behind them with 80 points and the 10th place Rangers with 78 points. A visit to Nassau Coliseum to face the Islanders should be exactly what the Flyers need. The Flyers have won 15 straight against the Islanders, the longest current streak in the NHL. 14 of those wins have been in regulation. So chalk this pick up to the Flyers? Not exactly. The Islanders have played at times much better than their record this year and the last 3 games against the Flyers have been 1 goal loses included both games this year at Nassau Coliseum and 4 of the 5 games between these 2 teams have been by 1 goal. Only a 6-2 blowout in Philadelphia on December 8th was more than 1 goal. In the other 4 matchups, both teams failed to combine for more than 5 goals total. Another trend to look for is that the Islanders who will again miss the playoffs for the 3rd straight season, have been respectable at home. They own a 20-14-3 record at Nassau Coliseum. The Isles also haven't lost a game at home by more than 1 goal since February 6, and only 3 times since Christmas.

SureShotPick: Sureshot feels that tonight is the night the Islanders break their streak against the Flyers. However, all the trends lead to taking the Islanders +1.5 as they seem to always cover when the underdog at home.

Also, 4 of 5 games between these 2 teams have had 5 goals or less scored between them. Take the Under.

Parlay the Isles +1.5 and the Under for better payout.

Bonus Pick!!! Nashville -115 over St.Louis!!!